The regular season concludes today with a full slate of Sunday games. The only week we see all 16 played on Sunday. We’ve been on a holiday break, which was much needed to help disrupt the wretched streak of losses we have endured. Today, we have three games to help us do just that.
Carolina (+7) @ New Orleans
This line opened at New Orleans -9, and has been bet down to -7. It’s easy to understand why. The Panthers have been one, if not the hottest team in football lately. They are winning and scoring a lot of points in the process, averaging 32.8 ppg in their last 5 games where they are 4 – 1, and 3 – 0 on the road.
New Orleans is at home again, where they have been nothing short of dominant. They enter the game needing a win and a loss by the 49ers to clinch the #2 seed, which we see as highly unlikely since San Francisco is playing the lowly Rams. Though they need a win, the Saints should enter the game with the idea that they will likely host a playoff game next week. Because of this, we expect a more cautious approach by the Saints.
This will be Cam Newton’s first trip to New Orleans, where he is looking to cap off his historic rookie season in dramatic fashion. The Panthers have held a lead in 14 of their 15 games this season. They led the Saints 27 – 23 early in the 4th quarter in their first matchup in Carolina. Head to head, the road team has gone 18 – 4 ATS in the last 22 meetings. The Panthers are 10 – 1 in their last 11 games in New Orleans, and 6 – 1 ATS in their last 6 meetings overall.
In a game that should be settled by a field goal, we’re getting 7 or more. Take the points ASAP, as we expect the number to drop even further by game time.
New Orleans wins, 28 – 27
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Tennessee (-1.5) @ Houston
We are going to keep it simple here. Houston has locked up the 3rd seed in the AFC with no further room to move. It makes this a game we expect the Texans to use extra caution. They are down to their rookie starter, and will be hosting their first ever playoff game next week. They also embarrassed the Titans in their last meeting, winning 41 – 7 back in October, and have lost their last two games.
The Titans need a win and some help from the Jets, Bengals, Broncos and Raiders, giving them a lot to play for today. Though they have struggled a bit, they get a Houston team not at full strength looking forward to a playoff game next week. As we know, divisional matchups have a tendency to split the games. The Titans will remember the last matchup and will be playing with their season on the line.
Tennessee wins, 23 – 14
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Kansas City (+3) @ Denver
After starting the season 1 – 4 as a starter, Kyle Orton was quickly replaced by Tim Tebow and eventually cut by the Broncos. Though there was some talk that he would reject the move, the Kansas City Chiefs needed a QB and later grabbed Orton off waivers. Since the acquisition, Kansas City has replaced their head coach and knocked off undefeated Green Bay with Orton as starter, where he is 1 – 1.
Tebow time has taken a big hit the last two weeks. His 4 INTs in Buffalo last week had the Tebow haters filling the air with “I told you so”. With 2 straight losses, the Broncos are heading the wrong way. They were in the driver’s seat for the AFC West title, but have since struggled just to keep a hand on the wheel. Their rivals in Oakland have come back to life and are also needing a win today. Yet, it’s the Broncos who control their destiny here.
There have been very few instances where a QB has had the opportunity to seek vengeance on his ex-team in the same season, not to mention in a game where that team’s season rests in the balance. Kyle Orton gets that rare opportunity. The Broncos need a win and have their season to play for. The Chiefs don’t need a win, but also a lot to play for. The players have stepped up their games for interim coach Romeo Crennel, and are trying their best to finish strong to help him permanently land the gig. Add the situation with Orton, and the fact that this is a division rivalry which the Broncos won earlier in the year, and you have the makings of a very physically fought game.
The Chiefs will leave it all on the field here. They already spoiled Green Bay’s perfect season, and nearly ended the Raiders’ last week. We like the upset, in revenge fashion.
Kansas City wins, 17 – 16

















